How International Conflicts Affect Local Prices
A war or political conflict thousands of miles away can raise the price of everyday goods at home through a chain of economic and logistical links. Modern supply chains are tightly interwoven, and essential inputs such as energy, metals, food, and shipping capacity are concentrated in a relatively small number of producing regions. When conflict disrupts production, trade flows, insurance, or finance in those regions, the cost of inputs rises and producers pass those costs on to consumers.Key transmission channelsCommodity supply shocks — Conflicts that disrupt the export flow of oil, gas, wheat, fertilizers, or metals cut global availability and…